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Quantitative Biology > Populations and Evolution

Title: Fast-growing mutations in the United Kingdom, the United States, Singapore, Spain, South Africa, and other COVID-19-devastated countries

Abstract: Recently, the SARS-CoV-2 variants from the United Kingdom (UK), South Africa, and Brazil have received much attention for their increased infectivity, potentially high virulence, and possible threats to existing vaccines and antibody therapies. The question remains if there are other more infectious variants transmitted around the world. We carry out a large-scale study of 252,874 SARS-CoV-2 genome isolates from patients to identify many other rapidly growing mutations on the spike (S) protein receptor-binding domain (RDB). We reveal that 88 out of 95 significant mutations that were observed more than 10 times strengthen the binding between the RBD and the host angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2), indicating the virus evolves toward more infectious variants. In particular, we discover new fast-growing RBD mutations N439K, L452R, S477N, S477R, and N501T that also enhance the RBD and ACE2 binding. We further unveil that mutation N501Y involved in United Kingdom (UK), South Africa, and Brazil variants may moderately weaken the binding between the RBD and many known antibodies, while mutations E484K and K417N found in South Africa and Brazilian variants can potentially disrupt the binding between the RDB and many known antibodies. Among three newly identified fast-growing RBD mutations, L452R and N501T are able to effectively weaken the binding of many known antibodies with the RBD. Our comprehensive genetic analysis and protein-protein binding study show that the genetic evolution of SARS-CoV-2 on the RBD, which may be regulated by host gene editing, viral proofreading, random genetic drift, and natural selection, gives rise to more infectious variants that will potentially compromise existing vaccines and antibody therapies.
Comments: 20 pages, 13 figures
Subjects: Populations and Evolution (q-bio.PE); Quantitative Methods (q-bio.QM)
Cite as: arXiv:2103.08023 [q-bio.PE]
  (or arXiv:2103.08023v1 [q-bio.PE] for this version)

Submission history

From: Rui Wang [view email]
[v1] Sun, 14 Mar 2021 20:13:50 GMT (2086kb,D)
[v2] Sun, 21 Mar 2021 19:17:42 GMT (2060kb,D)

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