Title: Optimal inference of a generalised Potts model by single-layer transformers with factored attention

Abstract: Transformers are the type of neural networks that has revolutionised natural language processing and protein science. Their key building block is a mechanism called self-attention which is trained to predict missing words in sentences. Despite the practical success of transformers in applications it remains unclear what self-attention learns from data, and how. Here, we give a precise analytical and numerical characterisation of transformers trained on data drawn from a generalised Potts model with interactions between sites and Potts colours. While an off-the-shelf transformer requires several layers to learn this distribution, we show analytically that a single layer of self-attention with a small modification can learn the Potts model exactly in the limit of infinite sampling. We show that this modified self-attention, that we call ``factored'', has the same functional form as the conditional probability of a Potts spin given the other spins, compute its generalisation error using the replica method from statistical physics, and derive an exact mapping to pseudo-likelihood methods for solving the inverse Ising and Potts problem.