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Economics > Econometrics

Title: Data Scaling Effect of Deep Learning in Financial Time Series Forecasting

Abstract: For many years, researchers have been exploring the use of deep learning in the forecasting of financial time series. However, they have continued to rely on the conventional econometric approach for model optimization, optimizing the deep learning models on individual assets. In this paper, we use the stock volatility forecast as an example to illustrate global training - optimizes the deep learning model across a wide range of stocks - is both necessary and beneficial for any academic or industry practitioners who is interested in employing deep learning to forecast financial time series. Furthermore, a pre-trained foundation model for volatility forecast is introduced, capable of making accurate zero-shot forecasts for any stocks.
Subjects: Econometrics (econ.EM); Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI); Computational Finance (q-fin.CP)
Cite as: arXiv:2309.02072 [econ.EM]
  (or arXiv:2309.02072v4 [econ.EM] for this version)

Submission history

From: Chen Liu [view email]
[v1] Tue, 5 Sep 2023 09:18:45 GMT (123kb)
[v2] Tue, 17 Oct 2023 09:35:30 GMT (3087kb,D)
[v3] Thu, 19 Oct 2023 02:58:47 GMT (3176kb,D)
[v4] Mon, 29 Apr 2024 09:57:33 GMT (1054kb,D)

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