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High Energy Physics - Phenomenology

Title: The Bayes factor surface for searches for new physics

Authors: Andrew Fowlie
Abstract: The Bayes factor surface is a new way to present results from experimental searches for new physics. Searches are regularly expressed in terms of phenomenological parameters - such as the mass and cross-section of a weakly interacting massive particle. Bayes factor surfaces indicate the strength of evidence for or against models relative to the background only model in terms of the phenomenological parameters that they predict. They provide a clear and direct measure of evidence, may be easily reinterpreted, but do not depend on choices of prior or parameterization. We demonstrate the Bayes factor surface with examples from dark matter, cosmology, and collider physics.
Comments: matches published version. extended discussion on computational. 17 pages, 5 figures
Subjects: High Energy Physics - Phenomenology (hep-ph); Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics (astro-ph.CO); High Energy Physics - Experiment (hep-ex); Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability (physics.data-an)
DOI: 10.1140/epjc/s10052-024-12792-9
Cite as: arXiv:2401.11710 [hep-ph]
  (or arXiv:2401.11710v2 [hep-ph] for this version)

Submission history

From: Andrew Fowlie Assoc. Prof. [view email]
[v1] Mon, 22 Jan 2024 06:24:06 GMT (923kb,D)
[v2] Mon, 22 Apr 2024 06:20:31 GMT (926kb,D)

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