Title: Dynamical evolution of the Uranian satellite system I. From the 5/3 Ariel-Umbriel mean motion resonance to the present

Abstract: Mutual gravitational interactions between the five major Uranian satellites raise small quasi-periodic fluctuations on their orbital elements. At the same time, tidal interactions between the satellites and the planet induce a slow outward drift of the orbits, while damping the eccentricities and the inclinations. In this paper, we revisit the current and near past evolution of this system using a N-body integrator, including spin evolution and tidal dissipation with the weak friction model. We update the secular eigenmodes of the system and show that it is unlikely that any of the main satellites were recently captured into a high obliquity Cassini state. We rather expect that the Uranian satellites are in a low obliquity Cassini state and compute their values. We also show that the current eccentricities of the satellites are not forced, and estimate the free eccentricities and inclinations. We constrain the quality factor of Uranus to be $Q_U = (8.6 \pm 2.9)\times10^3$, and that of the satellites to be $Q_S \sim 500$. We find that the system most likely encountered the 5/3 mean motion resonance between Ariel and Umbriel in the past, at about ($0.7\pm0.2$) Gyr ago. We additionally determine the eccentricities and inclinations of all satellites just after the resonance passage that comply with the current system. We finally show that, from the crossing of the 5/3 MMR to the present, the evolution of the system is mostly peaceful and dominated by tides raised on Uranus by the satellites.