Title: Scalable Bayesian Image-on-Scalar Regression for Population-Scale Neuroimaging Data Analysis

Abstract: Bayesian Image-on-Scalar Regression (ISR) offers significant advantages for neuroimaging data analysis, including flexibility and the ability to quantify uncertainty. However, its application to large-scale imaging datasets, such as found in the UK Biobank, is hindered by the computational demands of traditional posterior computation methods, as well as the challenge of individual-specific brain masks that deviate from the common mask typically used in standard ISR approaches. To address these challenges, we introduce a novel Bayesian ISR model that is scalable and accommodates inconsistent brain masks across subjects in large scale imaging studies. Our model leverages Gaussian process priors and integrates salience area indicators to facilitate ISR. We develop a cutting-edge scalable posterior computation algorithm that employs stochastic gradient Langevin dynamics coupled with memory mapping techniques, ensuring that computation time scales linearly with subsample size and memory usage is constrained only by the batch size. Our approach uniquely enables direct spatial posterior inferences on brain activation regions. The efficacy of our method is demonstrated through simulations and analysis of the UK Biobank task fMRI data, encompassing 8411 subjects and over 120,000 voxels per image, showing that it can achieve a speed increase of 4 to 11 times and enhance statistical power by 8% to 18% compared to traditional Gibbs sampling with zero-imputation in various simulation scenarios.