Title: Understanding Reliability from a Regression Perspective

Abstract: Reliability is an important quantification of measurement precision based on a latent variable measurement model. Inspired by McDonald (2011), we present a regression framework of reliability, placing emphasis on whether latent or observed scores serve as the regression outcome. Our theory unifies two extant perspectives of reliability: (a) classical test theory (measurement decomposition), and (b) optimal prediction of latent scores (prediction decomposition). Importantly, reliability should be treated as a property of the observed score under a measurement decomposition, but a property of the latent score under a prediction decomposition. To facilitate the evaluation and interpretation of distinct reliability coefficients for complex measurement models, we introduce a Monte Carlo approach for approximate calculation of reliability. We illustrate the proposed computational procedure with an empirical data analysis, which concerns measuring susceptibility and severity of depressive symptoms using a two-dimensional item response theory model. We conclude with a discussion on computing reliability coefficients and outline future avenues of research.