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Astrophysics > Earth and Planetary Astrophysics

Title: MARTIANS (MARs2020, TIANwen and So on) would see more potentially hazardous asteroids than Earthlings

Abstract: Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are a special subset of Near-Earth Objects (NEOs) that can come close to the Earth and are large enough to cause significant damage in the event of an impact. Observations and researches of Earth-PHAs have been underway for decades. Here, we extend the concept of PHAs to Mars and study the feasibility of detecting Mars-PHAs in the near future. We focus on PHAs that truly undergo close approaches with a planet (dubbed CAPHAs) and aim to compare the actual quantities of Earth-CAPHAs and Mars-CAPHAs by conducting numerical simulations incorporating the Yarkovsky effect, based on observed data of the main asteroid belt. The estimated number of Earth-CAPHAs and Mars-CAPHAs are 4675 and 16910, respectively. The occurrence frequency of Mars-CAPHAs is about 52 per year, which is 2.6 times that of Earth-CAPHAs, indicating significant potential for future Mars-based observations. Furthermore, a few Mars-CAPHAs are predicted to be observable even from Earth around the time of next Mars opposition in 2025.
Comments: 7 pages, 2 figures, accepted for publication in Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society Letters
Subjects: Earth and Planetary Astrophysics (astro-ph.EP); Solar and Stellar Astrophysics (astro-ph.SR); Space Physics (physics.space-ph)
Cite as: arXiv:2405.02614 [astro-ph.EP]
  (or arXiv:2405.02614v1 [astro-ph.EP] for this version)

Submission history

From: Yufan Zhou [view email]
[v1] Sat, 4 May 2024 08:52:15 GMT (966kb,D)

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