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Statistics > Applications

Title: Non-locality and Spillover Effects of Residential Flood Damage on Community Recovery: Insights from High-resolution Flood Claim and Mobility Data

Abstract: Examining the relationship between vulnerability of the built environment and community recovery is crucial for understanding disaster resilience. Yet, this relationship is rather neglected in the existing literature due to previous limitations in the availability of empirical datasets needed for such analysis. In this study, we combine fine-resolution flood damage claims data (composed of both insured and uninsured losses) and human mobility data (composed of millions of movement trajectories) during the 2017 Hurricane Harvey in Harris County, Texas, to specify the extent to which vulnerability of the built environment (i.e., flood property damage) affects community recovery (based on the speed of human mobility recovery) locally and regionally. We examine this relationship using a spatial lag, spatial reach, and spatial decay models to measure the extent of spillover effects of residential damage on community recovery. The findings show that: first, the severity of residential damage significantly affects the speed of community recovery. A greater extent of residential damage suppresses community recovery not only locally but also in the surrounding areas. Second, the spatial spillover effect of residential damage on community recovery speed decays with distance from the highly damaged areas. Third, spatial areas display heterogeneous spatial decay coefficients, which are associated with urban structure features such as the density of points-of-interest facilities and roads. These findings provide a novel data-driven characterization of the spatial diffusion of residential flood damage effects on community recovery and move us closer to a better understanding of complex spatial processes that shape community resilience to hazards. This study also provides valuable insights for emergency managers and public officials seeking to mitigate the non-local effects of residential damage.
Subjects: Applications (stat.AP)
Cite as: arXiv:2405.03874 [stat.AP]
  (or arXiv:2405.03874v2 [stat.AP] for this version)

Submission history

From: Junwei Ma [view email]
[v1] Mon, 6 May 2024 21:42:16 GMT (20807kb)
[v2] Wed, 8 May 2024 15:40:13 GMT (20871kb)

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